Weather News
We watch the National Hurricane Center, National Weather Service, NIFC and the Storm Prediction Center around the clock. When a significant event develops, a live tracker goes up here — official numbers, the affected area, and how it stacks up against 139M+ historical NOAA records.
Developing Now
Tropical Storm Boris
Tropical Storm Boris is active. Live position, intensity and advisories from the NOAA National Hurricane Center.
Tropical Storm Cristina
Tropical Storm Cristina is active. Live position, intensity and advisories from the NOAA National Hurricane Center.
Forecasts & Analysis
Southwest Heat Wave 2026: Phoenix Hit 115°F Before Summer Even Started
Phoenix reached 115°F on May 8 — the earliest such reading in Arizona history. Yale called the 2026 Southwest heat wave one of six most astonishing weather events of the century. Historical comparison from 139M NOAA records.
Every State's Hottest May on Record, Ranked — and How 2026 Changed the List
We analyzed 75 years of NOAA temperature records for all 50 states. May 2026 broke or tied monthly records in at least 18 states. Arizona hit 115°F three weeks earlier than ever before.
2026 Is on Track to Be the Hottest Year in US History
Every rolling 12-month window since April 2025 has been the warmest on record. March shattered the all-time departure record by 9.35°F. 18 states set new monthly records through April. Plus: Super El Niño, record drought, and what to expect next.
May 2026 Super Tornado Outbreak: 206 Tornadoes, 78 Deaths & the First Minnesota EF5
162 tornadoes in 24 hours — the 2nd most ever. 78 dead across 12 states. Rochester’s EF5 was Minnesota’s first and the first US EF5 in 13 years. How NOAA SPC data ranks this against the 2011 and 1974 super outbreaks.
El Niño 2026 Forecast: Super El Niño Could Be Strongest on Record
Super El Niño odds doubled to 50%. ECMWF models project +3.0°C SST anomaly — potentially the strongest since 1877. Region-by-region analysis from 5 past events using NOAA station data.
Hurricane Season 2026 Predictions: Super El Niño Changes Everything
Super El Niño now 50% likely — up from 25% when CSU issued their forecast. NOAA's official outlook drops May 21. Every El Niño hurricane season since 1991 analyzed, plus state risk from 170+ years of data.
Summer 2026 Weather Outlook: What History and Forecasts Tell Us
El Niño now 85% likely. Drought covers 61% of the lower 48. CSU forecasts below-average hurricanes. Carbon Brief projects 2026 as 2nd warmest year ever. Updated April 22 with latest data.
Tornado Season 2026: Forecasts, Historical Data & What to Expect
304 tornadoes so far in 2026, including an EF5 in Indiana. See the AccuWeather forecast (1,050–1,250 for the year), month-by-month regional breakdown, and how 2026 compares to 1974 and 2011.
March 2026 Heat Wave Shattered Records in 14 States
112°F in mid-March. 7,000+ daily records broken. State-by-state breakdown with city departure tables, cascading impacts on wildfire risk and snowpack, and the climate attribution science.
Winter 2025-26 Was the 2nd Warmest on Record
The winter of 2025-26 was the second warmest in 131 years of US records. Nine states broke all-time records. See city-level data from 55+ years of NOAA observations.
Looking for evergreen rankings and records? Browse all trends & analysis →