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Data Analysis

The Coldest Day of the Year, City by City

The coldest day of the year is not the darkest day, and it is not January everywhere. For most of the East and Midwest it lands around January 17–19 — but the entire West Coast and desert Southwest bottom out in late December, weeks earlier. We computed the exact coldest date for 41 major cities from 55 years of NOAA records, and the split between the two halves of the country is the whole story.

By the Weather On This Day research team||Data: NOAA GHCN-Daily, 1970–present

Here is the short answer, and the surprise inside it. The shortest day of the year is the winter solstice, around December 21 — but the coldest day comes later, and how much later depends entirely on where you live. In our data, 23 of these 41 cities — essentially the whole eastern two-thirds of the country — reach their coldest day between January 10 and 19, roughly four weeks after the solstice. New York bottoms out January 19, Chicago January 17, Atlanta January 18.

But flip to the West Coast and the calendar jumps backward. Tucson and Sacramento hit their coldest day on December 26. Los Angeles bottoms out December 29, Seattle and San Francisco by January 3. The West reaches its cold floor within a week or two of the solstice; the East waits a full month. Below is the exact date for every city, why the coldest day never matches the shortest day, and the one place where cold behaves exactly backward from heat.


The Exact Coldest Date for Every Major City

Ordered from the earliest coldest day to the latest — which also walks you from the West Coast to the Northeast. The “average low” is the smoothed day-of-year mean low at each city's primary long-record airport station, 1970–present. “Weeks after solstice” is measured from December 21.

CityColdest dateAvg lowWeeks after solsticeRegionNote
Tucson, AZDecember 2638.5°F0.7Desert SWBottoms out almost at the solstice — the earliest in the country.
Sacramento, CADecember 2637.3°F0.7Central ValleyIts coldest month is December, not January.
Phoenix, AZDecember 2743.3°F0.9Desert SW
San Diego, CADecember 2748.3°F0.9SoCal coast
Los Angeles, CADecember 2947.6°F1.1SoCal coastHottest in September, coldest in December — the full seasonal spread.
Portland, ORDecember 3134.1°F1.4Pacific NW
Albuquerque, NMJanuary 223.2°F1.7High desert
Las Vegas, NVJanuary 235.5°F1.7Mojave
Salt Lake City, UTJanuary 319.7°F1.9Great Basin
Seattle, WAJanuary 335.1°F1.9Pacific NW
Boise, IDJanuary 320.8°F1.9Intermountain
San Francisco, CAJanuary 343.0°F1.9NorCal coast
Denver, COJanuary 414.5°F2.0High Plains
Austin, TXJanuary 636.2°F2.3South-Central
Anchorage, AKJanuary 78.5°F2.4Alaska
Memphis, TNJanuary 731.3°F2.4Mid-South
Bismarck, NDJanuary 10-0.5°F2.9Northern PlainsThe only city here whose coldest day averages below zero.
Kansas City, MOJanuary 1017.6°F2.9Plains
Oklahoma City, OKJanuary 1025.4°F2.9Southern Plains
Dallas, TXJanuary 1033.7°F2.9South-Central
San Antonio, TXJanuary 1138.8°F3.0South-Central
Houston, TXJanuary 1240.9°F3.1Gulf Coast
New Orleans, LAJanuary 1642.8°F3.7Gulf Coast
Minneapolis, MNJanuary 175.1°F3.9Upper Midwest
Milwaukee, WIJanuary 1713.9°F3.9Great Lakes
St. Louis, MOJanuary 1721.4°F3.9Midwest
Chicago, ILJanuary 1714.2°F3.9Great Lakes
Detroit, MIJanuary 1815.9°F4.0Midwest
Indianapolis, INJanuary 1817.9°F4.0Midwest
Columbus, OHJanuary 1819.2°F4.0Midwest
Nashville, TNJanuary 1827.7°F4.0Mid-South
Atlanta, GAJanuary 1833.1°F4.0Southeast
Tampa, FLJanuary 1850.0°F4.0Gulf Coast
New York City, NYJanuary 1925.1°F4.1NortheastRight in the mid-to-late-January heart of the eastern minimum.
Philadelphia, PAJanuary 1923.4°F4.1Northeast
Washington, DCJanuary 1927.0°F4.1Mid-Atlantic
Charlotte, NCJanuary 1929.9°F4.1Southeast
Boston, MAJanuary 1920.6°F4.1Northeast
Portland, MEJanuary 1911.3°F4.1Northeast
Miami, FLJanuary 2458.3°F4.9South FloridaPeninsular Florida lags like the interior, not the West Coast.
Honolulu, HIFebruary 464.7°F6.4HawaiiA tropical ocean pushes the minimum all the way into February.

Dates are the bottom of a centered 7-day smoothed average, not a single record-cold day, so they are stable rather than driven by one Arctic outbreak. Values reflect 1970–present, so a warming trend nudges the averages up slightly versus older normals. Look up any single date's actual history in Chicago, Denver or Los Angeles on its city page.


Why the Coldest Day Trails the Shortest Day

The winter solstice, around December 21, is the shortest day — the least incoming sunlight of the year. You might expect that to be the coldest day. But temperatures keep sliding for weeks afterward, because the ground, the air and the oceans are still losing more heat to space each day than the weak winter sun puts back. Only when the days have lengthened enough to balance that loss does the average finally bottom out and start to climb. Meteorologists call the gap seasonal lag — the same reason the hottest day of summer comes well after the June solstice.

The twist in winter is that a second force sets the timing in much of the country: outbreaks of Arctic air. According to NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, the eastern and central US reaches its coldest point in January largely because that is when frigid air chilled over Alaska and Canada plunges south most often, reinforced by fresh snow cover that reflects sunlight away. West of the Rockies, those mid-winter Arctic plunges are far less common — the Pacific keeps feeding in milder, cloudier air — so the West tracks the solar cycle instead and bottoms out in late December. That single difference is why the coldest day splits so cleanly between the two halves of the country.


The Two Americas of Deep Cold

Sort the cities by date and the country falls into two timing zones, with the dividing line running roughly down the Continental Divide — exactly where NOAA's own coldest-day map draws it.

The West bottoms out in late December

Tucson and Sacramento (December 26), Phoenix and San Diego (December 27), Los Angeles (December 29), Portland (December 31), then Seattle, San Francisco, Las Vegas, Boise, Albuquerque and Salt Lake City all within the first days of January. These cities reach their coldest day just one to two weeks after the solstice because the Pacific, not Canada, controls their winter. Mild marine air and frequent Pacific storms crowd out the deep Arctic cold, so the thermometer simply follows the sun to its December low and starts back up.

The East and interior wait until mid-to-late January

Minneapolis, Chicago, St. Louis and Milwaukee (January 17); Detroit, Indianapolis, Columbus, Nashville, Atlanta and Tampa (January 18); New York, Philadelphia, Washington, Boston, Charlotte and Portland, Maine (January 19). This is the great eastern two-thirds of the country, and it lags the solstice by a full four weeks because January is peak Arctic-outbreak season. The Plains sit in between — Bismarck, Kansas City, Oklahoma City and Dallas bottom out around January 10, caught between the two regimes.


The West Coast Does Cold and Heat Exactly Backward

Here is the finding no listicle mentions. Set this page next to our hottest day of the year analysis and the West Coast flips completely. For heat, the Pacific coast peaks last — Los Angeles' hottest day, on average, is September 4, weeks after the interior has cooled. For cold, the same coast bottoms out first — Los Angeles' coldest day is December 29. Same city, same ocean, opposite timing: its warmest and coldest days are about ten weeks apart from where the inland rule would put them, and in opposite directions.

The reason the two lags point opposite ways is that different forces set them. Summer's lag on the coast is long because the ocean warms so slowly it keeps dragging the warmest days into early fall. Winter's “lag” on the coast is short because the thing that makes the East coldest in January — Arctic air — barely reaches the Pacific coast at all, so nothing pushes its minimum past the solar low in late December. The interior, by contrast, is roughly symmetric: Chicago peaks around July 17 and bottoms out around January 17, four weeks after each solstice, like clockwork.


So What's the Coldest Month?

Zoom out from the single coldest day to the coldest month and the answer simplifies: January, for almost everyone. In our station data January is the coldest calendar month in 37 of these 41 cities. The only exceptions are, predictably, on the West Coast — Seattle, San Diego, Las Vegas and Sacramento run a hair colder in December, because their whole cold season is shifted so early. So “the coldest month” is January nearly everywhere, and the places where December edges it out are the same places whose single coldest day also breaks the mid-January rule.


Is the Coldest Day Getting Less Cold?

Yes. Because this climatology uses 1970–present data, the average lows above already run warmer than the older 20th-century normals, and winter nights have warmed faster than summer days across most of the country. NOAA's own analysis has found the coldest stretch of the year drifting slightly later in parts of the East as well. The same warming shows up at the opposite end of the calendar — the first fall frost now arrives up to 17 days later than it did in the 1970s. If you want the all-time floor rather than the average, our coldest temperatures ever recorded breakdown covers the records, and the coldest cities in America ranks who is coldest overall. For how each state stacks up year-round, see average temperature by state.


How We Computed This

For each city we selected its primary long-record NOAA GHCN-Daily airport station — O'Hare for Chicago, Logan for Boston, Sacramento Executive for Sacramento, and so on, excluding nearby co-op and hilltop sites that bias cold. Daily low temperatures (stored in tenths of a degree Fahrenheit) were averaged by calendar date across all years from 1970 to the present, February 29 excluded and quality-flagged readings dropped. Because a single calendar date has only about 55 years behind it, the raw day-to-day curve is noisy, so we applied a centered 7-day smoothing and took the bottom of that smoothed curve as the “coldest day.” The coldest-month figures come from the same stations, averaging daily lows by calendar month. This is a 1970-present normal, not a full-century climatology, and it reflects the warming of recent decades.


Frequently Asked Questions

When is the coldest day of the year?

For most of the United States, the coldest day of the year falls in mid-to-late January. In our analysis of 55 years of NOAA data, most eastern and interior cities — including New York, Chicago, Boston and Atlanta — bottom out between January 10 and January 19. The exception is the West: the entire West Coast and desert Southwest reach their coldest day in late December, within a week or two of the winter solstice. The national range runs from December 26 in Tucson and Sacramento to February 4 in Honolulu.

Why isn’t the shortest day the coldest day?

It is called seasonal lag. The winter solstice (around December 21) is the shortest day, but the ground, air and oceans keep losing more heat than they gain for weeks afterward, so temperatures keep falling until that balance flips. In the East and Midwest the coldest day lands about four weeks later, in mid-to-late January, because that is also when Arctic air masses plunge south from Canada most often. On the West Coast, those Arctic outbreaks rarely arrive, so the coldest day tracks the solar minimum and comes just a week or two after the solstice.

What is the coldest month of the year?

January is the coldest month for nearly all of the United States. In our station data it is the coldest calendar month in 37 of these 41 cities. The handful of exceptions are on the West Coast — Seattle, San Diego, Las Vegas and Sacramento run marginally colder in December — because their coldest stretch comes so early in the winter.

Why does the West Coast get its coldest day before the East?

NOAA’s analysis puts the dividing line near the Continental Divide: most of the West reaches its coldest day in December, most of the East in January. The West is dominated by mild, moist air coming off the Pacific and tracks the solar cycle closely, so its minimum arrives soon after the December solstice. The East responds instead to frigid Arctic air flowing south from Canada, which peaks in frequency in mid-to-late January — pushing the eastern coldest day about a month past the solstice.

Which US city has the coldest "coldest day"?

Of the 41 major cities we analyzed, Bismarck, North Dakota is the only one whose coldest day averages below zero — its smoothed average low on January 10 is about −0.5°F. Anchorage, Alaska is next at 8.5°F (January 7), followed by Minnesota’s Minneapolis at 5.1°F (January 17). At the other end, Honolulu’s coldest day averages 64.7°F.


Sources & Method

City day-of-year cold climatology: NOAA GHCN-Daily via our database (1970–present), computed as described above. The regional West-vs-East pattern and the Arctic-outbreak explanation follow NOAA NCEI, “When to Expect the Coldest Day of the Year” and NOAA Climate.gov's coldest-day interactive map. Explore records and extremes across the country on our US weather records hub, or look up the weather on any past date in your own city.