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The Daily Record

Records Broken on October 21, 2026

US weather stations that set a new daily high- or low-temperature record on October 21, 2026, measured against 55+ years of NOAA history.

US map of 1 daily heat records and 0 cold records broken on October 21, 2026
Heat records (orange) and cold records (blue) by state on October 21, 2026. Gray = no records. Source: NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily.
1
Daily heat records
0
Daily cold records
1
States affected

How unusual was this?

Heat records
10.6 expected under a stable climate
1
0.1×
of normal
Cold records
10.6 expected under a stable climate
0
0.0×
of normal
The split: Every record set was a heat record — no cold records fell. A stable climate produces the two at about the same rate.
Longest-standing record broken

MOORE HAVEN LOCK 1, FL broke a heat record that had stood since 1980 — 46 years. The old mark was 92°F; the new one is 93°F.

Biggest Heat Records

93°F
+1° over old record
MOORE HAVEN LOCK 1, FL
Beat 92°F from 1980 · 55 yrs of record
Old record stood 46 years

Records by State

How we count records: A station sets a daily record when its high or low for the date beats every prior reading at that station for the same calendar day. We only count stations with at least 30 years of history for that day and filter readings flagged by NOAA's quality-control process. Data: NOAA NCEI GHCN-Daily. Recent days may rise as late-reporting stations are added.

How we get “expected”: If the climate were stable, a station with n prior years of history for a date would set a new record on that date with probability 1/(n+1) — today's reading is equally likely to land at any rank among the n+1 observations. Summing that across every eligible station gives the number of records a stable climate would produce. On this date that pool was 531 stations for highs and 527 for lows. No climate model is involved — it is arithmetic on the station count.

What the multiple is not: Nearby stations break records together, so a single day's total varies far more than independent counting would suggest. Treat the multiple as a description of the day, not a significance test. Records are measured against each station's own history since 1970, not all-time state or national marks.

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