Weather on October 16 at Shenandoah
Shenandoah National Park
Based on 55 years of data from Luray, VA
Elevation Note: Shenandoah sits at 3,500 ft. Expect temperatures 12°F cooler than the data shown below, which comes from Luray, VA at a lower elevation.
Planning Your Visit
October 16th in Shenandoah National Park (via Luray, VA) typically brings pleasant fall weather, with average highs around 70°F and lows near 41°F — a 29°F daily swing. Over 55 years of records, the warmest October 16th was in 2021 (71°F average), while the coldest was 2009 (35°F) — a 36°F range across recorded history. Rain or other precipitation has occurred on about 22% of October 16th dates historically, with the wettest October 16th recording 3.99" of rain. The last decade has been 2.9°F warmer on this date compared to 20-30 years ago.
The last decade has been 2.9°F warmer on this date compared to 20-30 years ago.
Planning for October 16th in Shenandoah? Great weather for outdoor activities.
Year by Year History
| Year | High | Low | Precip | Snow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 73°F | 39°F | 0" | 0" |
| 2024 | 53°F | 31°F | 0.13" | 0" |
| 2023 | 57°F | 40°F | 0.05" | 0" |
| 2022 | 76°F | 47°F | 0" | 0" |
| 2021 | 83°F | 59°F | 0.97" | 0" |
| 2020 | 79°F | 46°F | 0.1" | 0" |
| 2019 | 71°F | 41°F | 0" | 0" |
| 2018 | 71°F | 50°F | 0.03" | 0" |
| 2017 | 84°F | 53°F | 0.33" | 0" |
| 2016 | 69°F | 48°F | 0" | 0" |
| 2015 | 66°F | 41°F | 0" | 0" |
| 2014 | 65°F | 48°F | 3.33" | 0" |
| 2013 | 68°F | 46°F | 0" | 0" |
| 2012 | 72°F | 43°F | 0" | 0" |
| 2011 | 68°F | 41°F | 0" | 0" |
| 2010 | 59°F | 39°F | 0" | 0" |
| 2009 | 39°F | 30°F | 1.63" | 0" |
| 2008 | 81°F | 56°F | 0" | 0" |
| 2007 | 74°F | 42°F | 0" | 0" |
| 2006 | 63°F | 29°F | -- | -- |
| 2005 | 76°F | 48°F | 0" | 0" |
| 2004 | 57°F | 46°F | -- | -- |
| 2003 | 70°F | 36°F | 0" | 0" |
| 2002 | 57°F | 50°F | 3.99" | 0" |
| 2001 | 69°F | 39°F | 0" | 0" |
| 2000 | 81°F | 48°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1999 | 68°F | 39°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1998 | 66°F | 35°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1997 | 63°F | 34°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1996 | 82°F | 47°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1995 | 62°F | 39°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1994 | 67°F | 37°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1993 | 66°F | 42°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1992 | 81°F | 46°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1991 | 70°F | 45°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1990 | 62°F | 40°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1989 | 88°F | 50°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1988 | 78°F | 40°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1987 | 57°F | 29°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1986 | 62°F | 31°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1985 | 83°F | 42°F | 0.15" | 0" |
| 1984 | 73°F | 55°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1983 | 71°F | 34°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1982 | 72°F | 38°F | 0.25" | 0" |
| 1981 | 68°F | 31°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1980 | 76°F | 37°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1979 | 65°F | 27°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1978 | -- | 30°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1977 | 69°F | 41°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1976 | 62°F | 36°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1975 | 83°F | 53°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1974 | 66°F | 47°F | 1.04" | 0" |
| 1973 | 82°F | 38°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1972 | 60°F | 32°F | 0" | 0" |
| 1971 | 77°F | 44°F | 0" | 0" |